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Ukraine is Russia’s Iraq
With Ukrainian soldiers finding parade uniforms among the belongings of captured Russian soldiers, it seems that when Russia first began this brutal invasion, it expected Kyiv to be under full Russian occupation, the Ukrainian government to be overthrown and victory parades to be underway by now.
A month on, with Russia facing fierce Ukrainian resistance, as well as almost the entire world united against Putin’s war, you have Russian generals making a series of humiliating climbdowns on their goals, contradicting the original hubristic rhetoric.
Most significantly, Russia has essentially admitted defeat in its attempt to capture Kyiv.
Though it’s too early to say for sure, the ‘catastrophe’ Russia has faced in Ukraine is perhaps symptomatic of what could be the beginning of its unravelling – not just in this specific conflict but also in terms of its status as a major hegemonic pole of illiberalism in the world.
It’s not that this kind of unravelling is without precedent.